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ST LOUIS - Scott Rolen 28 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | PHI | 128 | 483 | 144 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 88 | 89 | 51 | 99 | 298 | 370 | 551 | 8 | 1 | |
2001 | PHI | 151 | 554 | 160 | 39 | 1 | 25 | 96 | 107 | 74 | 127 | 289 | 378 | 498 | 16 | 5 | |
2002 | PHI-STL | 155 | 580 | 154 | 29 | 8 | 31 | 89 | 110 | 72 | 102 | 266 | 357 | 503 | 8 | 4 | |
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Rolen played 100 games in a Phillies uniform, waiting for an inevitable trade while not lighting things up at the plate. He went on a power tear after he was dealt to the Cardinals, and finished with good numbers, not his best. He is in his prime years, and has been healthy two years in a row; with his power, walks and defense, he probably ranks as the best third sacker in the league right now.
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SAN FRAN - Edgardo Alfonzo 29 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | NYM | 150 | 544 | 176 | 40 | 2 | 25 | 109 | 94 | 95 | 70 | 324 | 425 | 542 | 3 | 2 | |
2001 | NYM | 124 | 457 | 111 | 22 | 0 | 17 | 64 | 49 | 51 | 62 | 243 | 322 | 403 | 5 | 0 | |
2002 | NYM | 135 | 490 | 151 | 26 | 0 | 16 | 78 | 56 | 62 | 55 | 308 | 391 | 459 | 6 | 0 | |
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Losing Jeff Kent will be tough, but I think the additions of Alfonzo and Ray Durham were awfully good moves for the Giants. Kent has clearly been the better then Alfonzo the past two seasons, but he is also six years older. Alfonzo looked like a budding superstar in 2000; injuries have derailed his career the past two seasons, but he was still very good last year with the Mets. Alfonzo is a fine defensive player, and he should have better seasons ahead.
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FLORIDA - Mike Lowell 29 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | FLO | 140 | 508 | 137 | 38 | 0 | 22 | 73 | 91 | 54 | 75 | 270 | 344 | 474 | 4 | 0 | |
2001 | FLO | 146 | 551 | 156 | 37 | 0 | 18 | 65 | 100 | 43 | 79 | 283 | 340 | 448 | 1 | 2 | |
2002 | FLO | 160 | 597 | 165 | 44 | 0 | 24 | 88 | 92 | 65 | 92 | 276 | 346 | 471 | 4 | 3 | |
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After three identical seasons, it is probably safe to say that we know what his level of ability is. The Marlins may not be convinced; Lowell had a great first half, but struggled badly after the break. I think he still has a career year in him, a year in which he hits around .300 with 25-30 homers.
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COLORADO - Jose Hernandez 34 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | MIL | 124 | 446 | 109 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 51 | 59 | 41 | 125 | 244 | 315 | 372 | 3 | 7 | |
2001 | MIL | 152 | 542 | 135 | 26 | 2 | 25 | 67 | 78 | 39 | 185 | 249 | 300 | 443 | 5 | 4 | |
2002 | MIL | 152 | 525 | 151 | 24 | 2 | 24 | 72 | 73 | 52 | 188 | 288 | 359 | 478 | 3 | 5 | |
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Just when you've given up on the Rockies and Dan O'Dowd, they go out and get themselves a player. Well, I shouldn't give them too much praise; Hernandez is, after all, 34 years old and coming off a career year, and his value is almost certain to plummet within the next two years. But at least the Rockies made an effort to put a real player in their infield and not resign Neifi Perez.
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CHICAGO CUBS - Mark Bellhorn 29 S/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | AAA | 117 | 436 | 116 | 17 | 11 | 24 | 111 | 73 | 94 | 121 | 266 | 399 | 521 | 20 | 5 | |
2001 | AAA | 43 | 156 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 30 | 36 | 22 | 60 | 269 | 370 | 538 | 3 | 0 | |
2002 | CHC | 146 | 445 | 115 | 24 | 4 | 27 | 86 | 56 | 76 | 144 | 258 | 374 | 512 | 7 | 5 | |
Bellhorn was a 22-year-old rookie with the Athletics back in 1997; he had a decent season, but it took him five years to get established in the big leagues. He is the kind of player you would have expected the Athletics to like — he has power, speed and gets on base — but things didn't work out, due to injuries and bad luck.
How surprising, then, that he should thrive with the Cubs, a team that normally can't tell a good player from a groundskeeper. But Bellhorn was great last year, and I presume that he will be a fixture at the top of the Cubs' lineup this season. I don't know if he will hit as many home runs this year, but he will still get on base in front of Sosa and that's what the Cubs really need.
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PITTSBURGH - Aramis Ramirez 25 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | PIT | 73 | 254 | 65 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 35 | 10 | 36 | 256 | 293 | 402 | 0 | 0 | |
2001 | PIT | 158 | 603 | 181 | 40 | 0 | 34 | 83 | 112 | 40 | 100 | 300 | 350 | 536 | 5 | 4 | |
2002 | PIT | 142 | 522 | 122 | 26 | 0 | 18 | 51 | 71 | 29 | 95 | 234 | 279 | 387 | 2 | 0 | |
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Ramirez had a rough season. I am going to assume that Ramirez is not the second coming of Fernando Tatis, that he will come back and hit a lot of home runs over the next few seasons. He is very young and strong.
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LOS ANGELES - Adrian Beltre 24 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | LA | 138 | 510 | 148 | 30 | 2 | 20 | 71 | 85 | 56 | 80 | 290 | 360 | 475 | 12 | 5 | |
2001 | LA | 126 | 475 | 126 | 22 | 4 | 13 | 59 | 60 | 28 | 82 | 265 | 310 | 411 | 13 | 4 | |
2002 | LA | 159 | 587 | 151 | 26 | 5 | 21 | 70 | 75 | 37 | 96 | 257 | 303 | 426 | 7 | 5 | |
Beltre had another disappointing season; after looking like a brilliant young player when he was 20 years old, his career has stalled.
I can understand if the Dodgers and their fans are frustrated, but there is still good reason to think that he will be a very good player. He struggled terrible in May and June, but also sizzled during the summer, batting over .300 in July and August. And he is still incredibly young; he has been in the league for five years and has played 650 games, yet is still 20 months younger than Eric Hinske, the AL Rookie Of The Year. I would like to have Beltre on my team in 2003.
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PHILADELPHIA - David Bell 31 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | SEA | 133 | 454 | 112 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 57 | 47 | 42 | 66 | 247 | 316 | 381 | 2 | 3 | |
2001 | SEA | 135 | 470 | 122 | 28 | 0 | 15 | 62 | 64 | 28 | 59 | 260 | 303 | 415 | 2 | 1 | |
2002 | SF | 154 | 552 | 144 | 29 | 2 | 20 | 82 | 73 | 54 | 80 | 261 | 333 | 429 | 1 | 2 | |
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Bell did okay for himself last year, starring for a Giants team that won the pennant, then signing a $17 million contract with the Phillies during the winter. He's a decent player, not a very good hitter but a fine defensive third baseman. Last season was probably a career year, and a well-timed one at that.
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SAN DIEGO - Sean Burroughs 23 L/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | AA | 108 | 392 | 114 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 46 | 42 | 58 | 45 | 291 | 383 | 401 | 6 | 8 | |
2001 | AAA | 104 | 394 | 127 | 28 | 1 | 9 | 60 | 55 | 37 | 54 | 322 | 386 | 467 | 9 | 2 | |
2002 | AAA | 50 | 179 | 54 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 23 | 21 | 16 | 302 | 380 | 447 | 1 | 0 | |
2002 | SD | 63 | 192 | 52 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 12 | 30 | 271 | 317 | 323 | 2 | 0 | |
At age 22, Burroughs took over the third base job in San Diego, and was a favourite to be the top rookie in the league. That didn't work out; Burroughs' bat was lacking in punch, and he was sent back to the minors. He was also hampered by a shoulder injury that he suffered in May; he had the shoulder operating on to repair a torn labrum after the season.
Burroughs and the Padres will try again in 2003. He's still very young, and he should be a .300 hitter with doubles power. Some people think that he will hit for more power as his body fills out (his dad was Jeff Burroughs), but so far there is no evidence that he can hit home runs. I wouldn't expect a power explosion this season.
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HOUSTON - Morgan Ensberg 27 R/R or Geoff Blum 30 S/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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ENSBERG | |
2000 | AA | 137 | 483 | 145 | 34 | 0 | 28 | 95 | 90 | 92 | 107 | 300 | 416 | 545 | 9 | 12 | |
2001 | AAA | 87 | 316 | 98 | 20 | 0 | 23 | 65 | 61 | 45 | 60 | 310 | 397 | 592 | 6 | 3 | |
2002 | AAA | 83 | 292 | 84 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 50 | 37 | 50 | 56 | 282 | 401 | 421 | 9 | 5 | |
2002 | HOU | 49 | 132 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 19 | 18 | 25 | 242 | 346 | 394 | 2 | 0 | |
BLUM | |
2000 | MON | 124 | 343 | 97 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 45 | 26 | 60 | 283 | 335 | 449 | 1 | 4 | |
2001 | MON | 148 | 453 | 107 | 25 | 0 | 9 | 57 | 50 | 43 | 94 | 236 | 313 | 351 | 9 | 5 | |
2002 | HOU | 130 | 368 | 104 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 52 | 49 | 70 | 283 | 367 | 440 | 2 | 0 | |
Ensberg has played well in the minor leagues the past three years, but can't buy any playing time with the Astros. There is no doubt that he can get on base, and he has the potential to hit for power as well (especially in the park). But, at age 27, time is getting away from him.
Geoff Blum got the bulk of the playing time at third, and you can't argue with the decision; Blum had his best season and was a solid contributor in the Astros' lineup. Both of these guys can play a little bit, neither is a long term, everyday solution.
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ARIZONA - Craig Counsell 33 L/R and Matt Williams 37 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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COUNSELL | |
2000 | ARI | 67 | 152 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 20 | 18 | 316 | 400 | 421 | 3 | 3 | |
2001 | ARI | 141 | 458 | 126 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 76 | 38 | 61 | 76 | 275 | 359 | 362 | 6 | 8 | |
2002 | ARI | 112 | 436 | 123 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 63 | 51 | 45 | 52 | 282 | 348 | 351 | 7 | 5 | |
WILLIAMS | |
2000 | ARI | 96 | 371 | 102 | 18 | 2 | 12 | 43 | 47 | 20 | 51 | 275 | 315 | 431 | 1 | 2 | |
2001 | ARI | 106 | 408 | 112 | 30 | 0 | 16 | 58 | 65 | 22 | 70 | 275 | 314 | 466 | 1 | 0 | |
2002 | ARI | 60 | 215 | 56 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 40 | 21 | 41 | 260 | 324 | 479 | 3 | 1 | |
The Diamondbacks attempted to trade Williams during the winter, but he vetoed the deal. Williams really doesn't have a lot left; he's 37 years old, and he can't stay in the lineup; he still has a lethal power stroke, but his inability to hit for average or get on base is a problem.
On the other hand, the DBacks still need him because the left side of their infield is pretty weak. Counsell is a very good utility player and could be a decent second baseman, but I don't see him as a good third sacker. He has no power, and while he does a decent job of getting on base his other contributions with the bat are limited.
Unless the Diamondbacks have another Junior Spivey hidden away somewhere, the left side of the infield will likely be a major liability on a rapidly disintegrating team.
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NEW YORK METS - Ty Wigginton 24 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | AA | 122 | 453 | 129 | 27 | 3 | 20 | 64 | 77 | 24 | 107 | 285 | 319 | 490 | 5 | 5 | |
2001 | AAA | 78 | 260 | 65 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 24 | 27 | 66 | 250 | 323 | 377 | 3 | 3 | |
2002 | AAA | 104 | 383 | 115 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 49 | 48 | 43 | 50 | 300 | 366 | 431 | 5 | 3 | |
2002 | NYM | 46 | 116 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 8 | 19 | 302 | 354 | 526 | 2 | 1 | |
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God only knows what kind of player Wigginton is going to be. He may hit for power; he may not. He may have good command of the strike zone, he may not. But he has played well enough that he deserves to be in the lineup; I think he is an interesting young player who could be good.
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ATLANTA - Vinny Castilla 35 R/R or Matt Franco 34 L/R or Mark DeRosa 28 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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CASTILLA | |
2000 | TAM | 85 | 331 | 73 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 42 | 14 | 41 | 221 | 254 | 308 | 1 | 2 | |
2001 | TAM-HOU | 146 | 538 | 140 | 34 | 1 | 25 | 69 | 91 | 35 | 108 | 260 | 308 | 467 | 1 | 4 | |
2002 | ATL | 143 | 543 | 126 | 23 | 2 | 12 | 56 | 61 | 22 | 69 | 232 | 268 | 348 | 4 | 1 | |
FRANCO | |
2000 | NYM | 101 | 134 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 22 | 239 | 340 | 313 | 0 | 0 | |
2001 | AAA | 124 | 433 | 106 | 25 | 1 | 8 | 49 | 47 | 52 | 72 | 245 | 325 | 363 | 5 | 2 | |
2002 | ATL | 81 | 205 | 65 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 30 | 27 | 31 | 317 | 395 | 517 | 1 | 0 | |
DEROSA | |
2000 | AAA | 101 | 370 | 108 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 62 | 35 | 38 | 36 | 292 | 359 | 392 | 13 | 4 | |
2001 | AAA | 49 | 186 | 55 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 17 | 17 | 22 | 296 | 351 | 425 | 7 | 3 | |
2001 | ATL | 66 | 164 | 47 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 12 | 19 | 287 | 350 | 390 | 2 | 1 | |
2002 | ATL | 72 | 212 | 63 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 12 | 24 | 297 | 339 | 429 | 2 | 3 | |
Last I checked, Vinny Castilla was still on the Braves' roster, despite having a horrible, horrible season at third base. "The Braves love his defense" is what we were told during the playoffs, while the Braves were being unceremoniously booted out of the postseason. Castilla still might be able to help off the bench, but is all done as a regular.
Sooo... well, last year at first base, the Braves used the Franco's, Matt and Julio. Rob Fick has that job this season, but Franco and Franco are still around, and both are infinitely better options than Castilla. Matt Franco actually played really well and more than deserves a chance to claim the job. Another option is Mark DeRosa, who hits better than Castilla and is also seven years younger.
Julio Franco is still a good player, and would be in the Hall Of Fame if he had spent even half the years in Colorado that Castilla did.
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CINCINNATI - Brandon Larson 27 R/R or Russell Branyan 26 L/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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LARSON | |
2000 | AA-AAA | 128 | 490 | 134 | 33 | 1 | 22 | 72 | 68 | 35 | 138 | 273 | 330 | 480 | 15 | 5 | |
2001 | AAA | 115 | 424 | 108 | 22 | 2 | 14 | 61 | 55 | 24 | 123 | 255 | 312 | 415 | 5 | 6 | |
2002 | AAA | 80 | 297 | 101 | 20 | 1 | 25 | 47 | 69 | 24 | 70 | 340 | 393 | 667 | 1 | 1 | |
2002 | CIN | 23 | 51 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 275 | 362 | 549 | 1 | 0 | |
BRANYAN | |
2000 | CLE | 67 | 193 | 46 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 32 | 38 | 22 | 76 | 238 | 327 | 544 | 0 | 0 | |
2001 | CLE | 113 | 315 | 73 | 16 | 2 | 20 | 48 | 54 | 38 | 132 | 232 | 316 | 486 | 1 | 1 | |
2002 | CLE-CIN | 134 | 378 | 86 | 13 | 1 | 24 | 50 | 56 | 51 | 151 | 228 | 320 | 458 | 4 | 3 | |
Bob Boone was quoted in January saying that he thinks Brandon Larson is capable of hitting 40 home runs in a season. The Reds have even moved Aaron Boone to second base, to give Larson a chance to play everyday. I'm all for giving young players an opportunity to play... but in this case, the Reds are going to be disappointed. Yes, Larson had a tremendous year at Louisville, but he was 26 years old. Before that, his minor league record was unexceptional; his command of the strike zone is also very poor. He's not a good young player; if the Reds get real lucky, he'll be Shea Hillenbrand, get hot for a couple of months and give them decent production in the short term.
Now, Russell Branyan, on the other hand... he just might hit 40 homers in a season, though he might also strike out 250 times. My guess is that Boone will be back at third before the end of the year.
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MILWAUKEE - Wes Helms 27 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | AAA | 136 | 539 | 155 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 74 | 88 | 27 | 92 | 288 | 325 | 475 | 0 | 6 | |
2001 | ATL | 100 | 216 | 48 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 21 | 56 | 222 | 293 | 435 | 1 | 1 | |
2002 | ATL | 85 | 210 | 51 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 11 | 57 | 243 | 283 | 405 | 1 | 1 | |
Helms began the year as the Braves' first baseman, but didn't hit and spent a lot of time on the bench. The Brewers are going to try him out as their third baseman; Helms has some power but doesn't hit for average and has terrible command of the strike zone.
What's that? A Brewer who doesn't understand the strike zone? Can't be!
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MONTREAL - Fernando Tatis 27 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | STL | 96 | 324 | 82 | 21 | 1 | 18 | 59 | 64 | 57 | 94 | 253 | 379 | 491 | 2 | 3 | |
2001 | MON | 41 | 145 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 16 | 43 | 255 | 339 | 359 | 0 | 0 | |
2002 | MON | 114 | 381 | 87 | 18 | 1 | 15 | 43 | 55 | 35 | 90 | 228 | 303 | 399 | 2 | 2 | |
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A poster boy for non-guaranteed contracts. Tatis makes over $5 million per year, compensation for the great season he had in 1999. Since then, he has been utterly frustrating; last year, Tatis missed the first month of last season with an injury, then came back and played very well for two months... and then he hit .179 after the All-Star break. Tatis' 1999 season seems like a distant memory now; though he is only 28, he has become unwanted, expensive baggage.
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