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BOSTON - Manny Ramirez 31 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | CLE | 118 | 439 | 154 | 34 | 2 | 38 | 92 | 122 | 86 | 117 | 351 | 457 | 697 | 1 | 1 | |
2001 | BOS | 142 | 529 | 162 | 33 | 2 | 41 | 93 | 125 | 81 | 147 | 306 | 405 | 609 | 0 | 1 | |
2002 | BOS | 120 | 436 | 152 | 31 | 0 | 33 | 84 | 107 | 73 | 85 | 349 | 450 | 647 | 0 | 0 | |
Ramirez was leading the MVP race in May when he broke a bone in his hand. When he was in the lineup he was the best hitter in the American League. A great hitter, still young, could easily win the Triple Crown if he could ever play 150 games in a season.
Ramirez also dramatically cut down his strikeouts last season, after five years of growing strikeout rates. As Ramirez' strikeout rates have steadily increased, so has his productivity at the plate. Last year, they dropped back down to 1996 levels, but all of Ramirez' other numbers remained consistent with what he has done in recent years. Did Ramirez focus on cutting his strikeouts? Was it just a fluke? And, most importantly, will it have any effect on what he'll do in 2003?
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ANAHEIM - Garret Anderson 31 L/L |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | ANA | 159 | 647 | 185 | 40 | 3 | 35 | 92 | 117 | 24 | 87 | 286 | 307 | 519 | 7 | 6 | |
2001 | ANA | 161 | 672 | 194 | 39 | 2 | 28 | 83 | 123 | 27 | 100 | 289 | 314 | 478 | 13 | 6 | |
2002 | ANA | 158 | 638 | 195 | 56 | 3 | 29 | 93 | 123 | 30 | 80 | 306 | 332 | 539 | 6 | 4 | |
Anderson had the best season of his career, and was the cleanup hitter on the World Series champions. He is very durable and consistent, and puts up identical numbers across the board; against left-handers and righties, at home and on the road, with runners on base and the bases empty, he's pretty much the same in all situations. He hits the same numbers of ground balls as fly balls. Defensively, he's as good as left-fielders get.
I confess that I've never been a huge Anderson fan; he's a fine player but I've never seen him as an MVP candidate. I hold to the philosophy that the best hitters in the league are the ones who produce the most runs while making the fewest outs. Anderson drives in runs, but he makes a huge number of outs. Also, he now has six straight seasons with over 600 at bats, but has still never scored 100 runs in a season.
In many ways, and I admit I am reluctant to make this comparison, he is the Steve Garvey of his generation. Always in the lineup, has good-almost-great numbers at the plate, is very good with the glove, popular with the fans and a team leader. An invaluable part of a good team but not an MVP candidate.
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TORONTO - Shannon Stewart 29 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | TOR | 136 | 583 | 186 | 43 | 5 | 21 | 107 | 69 | 37 | 79 | 319 | 363 | 518 | 20 | 5 | |
2001 | TOR | 155 | 640 | 202 | 44 | 7 | 12 | 103 | 60 | 46 | 72 | 316 | 371 | 462 | 27 | 10 | |
2002 | TOR | 141 | 577 | 175 | 38 | 6 | 10 | 103 | 45 | 54 | 60 | 303 | 371 | 442 | 14 | 2 | |
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Stewart gives the Blue Jays ultra-consistent performance in left field, hitting .300 and scoring 100 runs a year like clockwork. He's a good player, doesn't do any one thing exceptionally well, but also doesn't have any major weaknesses (except for a poor throwing arm — that's why he's in left, eh?).
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NEW YORK YANKEES - Hideki Matsui 29 L/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1993-2002 | PLAYED IN JAPAN | |
After starring for the Yomiuri Giants for ten years, Matsui is jumping over to America to make some big bucks and help the Yankees win another championship. He was a three-time MVP in Japan; last year he hit .334 with 50 home runs. He has led the league in homers and RBI three times, has also led the league in runs scored five times and has won a batting title. He has a reputation for being a patient hitter, and has played in over 1,250 consecutive games.
Roberto Petagine played in the major leagues from 1994 to 1998. He had a great career in the minors, but his major league career never got on track. He played 193 games over five years, was a .225 hitter. In two years with the New York Mets, he hit just .211.
From what I have heard, Petagine is not fondly remembered by Mets fans. If the Yankees had signed him this winter and made a big fuss over the deal, my guess is that Yankees fans would have scratched their heads, while Mets fans would have laughed. Petagine, however, has played the past two years in the Central League in Japan, along with Hideki Matstui.
2002 AVG OBA SLG HR RBI
Matsui 334 461 692 50 107
Petagine 322 438 649 41 94
2001 AVG OBA SLG HR RBI
Matsui 333 463 617 36 104
Petagine 322 466 633 39 127
Both years, Petagine and Matsui were the league leaders in almost everything. But rejects from North America who go to star in Japan (like Petagine and Tuffy Rhodes and Alex Cabrera) are treated as just that — rejects — while Matsui is treated as the second coming of Babe Ruth.
I know that one of two things is true. Either Matsui is overrated, or Petagine is underrated. The truth is probably somewhere in the middle; I'm sure that Matsui is a fine ballplayer, but I'm a little skeptical of the hype. To expect every player who comes over from Japan to have the same impact on the game that Ichiro has had is probably unrealistic.
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CHICAGO WHITE SOX - Carlos Lee 27 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | CHW | 152 | 572 | 172 | 29 | 2 | 24 | 107 | 92 | 38 | 94 | 301 | 345 | 484 | 13 | 4 | |
2001 | CHW | 150 | 558 | 150 | 33 | 3 | 24 | 75 | 84 | 38 | 85 | 269 | 321 | 468 | 17 | 7 | |
2002 | CHW | 140 | 492 | 130 | 26 | 2 | 26 | 82 | 80 | 75 | 73 | 264 | 359 | 484 | 1 | 4 | |
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Lee's Triple Crown stats — batting average, homers, RBI — didn't improve much last year. But he dramatically improved his K/BB ratio, walking more often than he struck out. I have to rate Lee ahead of Jacques Jones, even though Jones got more attention last year with the Twins; Lee has a better on-base percentage and matches Jones' power. Lee is a year younger and has much better plate discipline; I think it's highly likely that Lee will be a much better player than Jones in 2003.
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MINNESOTA - Jacques Jones 28 L/L |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | MIN | 154 | 523 | 149 | 26 | 5 | 19 | 66 | 76 | 26 | 111 | 285 | 319 | 463 | 7 | 5 | |
2001 | MIN | 149 | 475 | 131 | 25 | 0 | 14 | 57 | 49 | 39 | 92 | 276 | 335 | 417 | 12 | 9 | |
2002 | MIN | 149 | 577 | 173 | 37 | 2 | 27 | 96 | 85 | 37 | 129 | 300 | 341 | 511 | 6 | 7 | |
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Jones was a terrific surprise at the top of the batting order for the Twins. He was 27 years old, the most common age for fluke seasons; he still has poor command of the strike zone. Will most likely drop back to 2000-01 levels.
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CLEVELAND - Matt Lawton 31 L/R or Shane Spencer 30 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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LAWTON | |
2000 | MIN | 156 | 561 | 171 | 44 | 2 | 13 | 84 | 88 | 91 | 63 | 305 | 405 | 460 | 23 | 7 | |
2001 | MIN-NYM | 151 | 559 | 155 | 36 | 1 | 13 | 95 | 64 | 85 | 80 | 277 | 382 | 415 | 29 | 8 | |
2002 | CLE | 114 | 416 | 98 | 19 | 2 | 15 | 71 | 57 | 59 | 34 | 236 | 342 | 399 | 8 | 9 | |
SPENCER | |
2000 | NYY | 73 | 248 | 70 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 19 | 45 | 282 | 330 | 460 | 1 | 2 | |
2001 | NYY | 80 | 283 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 46 | 21 | 58 | 258 | 315 | 428 | 4 | 1 | |
2002 | NYY | 94 | 288 | 71 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 34 | 31 | 62 | 247 | 324 | 375 | 0 | 3 | |
Lawton had a dismal season. He struggled at the plate, plus he also suffered injuries to his left calf and later to his left shoulder. He had surgery in September to repair a torn rotator cuff in his shoulder, and it remains to be seen when he will return.
The Indians currently have six outfielders, so it's not exactly how things will end up. I think they will probably want to give Lawton a chance to play everyday; he's their best outfielder, and even in a bad year he still had a good on-base percentage. Shane Spencer could end up in right field, platooning with Karim Garcia.
However, Spencer wants a chance to play everyday, and may get that opportunity if Lawton isn't healthy in the spring. Spencer lost his power stroke with the Yankees last season; he'll do better this year but he's still not as good as Lawton if Lawton is healthy. These two players could end up platooning in left.
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SEATTLE - Randy Winn 29 S/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | TAM | 51 | 159 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 16 | 26 | 25 | 252 | 362 | 302 | 6 | 7 | |
2001 | TAM | 128 | 429 | 117 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 54 | 50 | 38 | 81 | 273 | 339 | 401 | 12 | 10 | |
2002 | TAM | 152 | 607 | 181 | 39 | 9 | 14 | 87 | 75 | 55 | 109 | 298 | 360 | 461 | 27 | 8 | |
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Winn gave his career a shot of adrenaline with a fine season. He set a career high in everything, hitting for much more power than he had in the past, while finally learning to make use of his speed on the bases. With Winn in left, the Mariners will actually have an everyday player at each outfield position... Winn won't play as well this year. I liken his season to Doug Glanville's in 1999, a career best that won't be matched,
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TAMPA BAY - Carl Crawford 22 L/L |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | A | 135 | 564 | 170 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 99 | 57 | 32 | 102 | 301 | 342 | 410 | 55 | 9 | |
2001 | AA | 132 | 537 | 147 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 64 | 51 | 36 | 90 | 274 | 323 | 352 | 36 | 20 | |
2002 | AAA | 85 | 353 | 105 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59 | 52 | 20 | 69 | 297 | 335 | 456 | 26 | 8 | |
2002 | TAM | 63 | 259 | 67 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 30 | 9 | 41 | 259 | 290 | 371 | 9 | 5 | |
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The Devil Rays like to draft outstanding young athletes and then teach them how to play baseball. The strategy hasn't worked out too well so far, but they are hoping that Crawford will be a winner. He is very young and a super athlete, and he played well enough last year to makes us think that he might be a ballplayer. His liabilities are predictable — his plate discipline is poor, and though fast, he is not a good base stealer — and they will be difficult to overcome. But he is young enough to get better, and the Rays have all the time in the world to wait for him to improve.
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OAKLAND - Terrence Long 27 L/L |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | OAK | 138 | 584 | 168 | 34 | 4 | 18 | 104 | 80 | 43 | 77 | 288 | 336 | 452 | 5 | 0 | |
2001 | OAK | 162 | 629 | 178 | 37 | 4 | 12 | 90 | 85 | 52 | 103 | 283 | 335 | 412 | 9 | 3 | |
2002 | OAK | 162 | 587 | 141 | 32 | 4 | 16 | 71 | 67 | 48 | 96 | 240 | 298 | 390 | 3 | 6 | |
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The Athletics are a very patient organization. Long played in all 162 games, even though he was Oakland's worst player and had just a dreadful season. He didn't hit for average or power, didn't get on base and had a terrible year as a base stealer. He is still expected to be a regular in Oakland's outfield in 2003, and will certainly have a better season. However, it is likely safe to assume that we have seen the best of Terrence Long, that he won't get better than he was in his rookie year in 2000. I don't expect to see him in the league when he is 30.
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TEXAS - Kevin Mench 25 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | A | 132 | 491 | 164 | 39 | 9 | 27 | 118 | 121 | 78 | 72 | 334 | 427 | 615 | 19 | 7 | |
2001 | AA | 120 | 475 | 126 | 34 | 2 | 26 | 78 | 83 | 34 | 76 | 265 | 319 | 509 | 4 | 6 | |
2002 | TEX | 110 | 366 | 95 | 20 | 2 | 15 | 52 | 60 | 31 | 83 | 260 | 327 | 448 | 1 | 1 | |
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Mench's numbers were almost an exact duplicate of teammate Carl Everett's... Mench is an OK young player, skipped a level to fill in for the Rangers' numerous injured outfielders. He had a tremendous June (.333 average, seven homers) that propped up his numbers. Mench has some power, but there isn't a lot else that he does well. But if he can put together another of those hot streaks he could have a career.
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DETROIT - Dmitri Young 29 S/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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2000 | CIN | 152 | 548 | 166 | 37 | 6 | 18 | 68 | 88 | 36 | 80 | 303 | 346 | 491 | 0 | 3 | |
2001 | CIN | 142 | 540 | 163 | 28 | 3 | 21 | 68 | 69 | 37 | 77 | 302 | 350 | 481 | 8 | 5 | |
2002 | DET | 54 | 201 | 57 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 12 | 39 | 284 | 329 | 458 | 2 | 0 | |
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I would hate to be a left-handed pitcher with the Tigers this year. First, they're pulling the fences in left-centre field in 25 feet. Plus, the left side of the field includes Dean Palmer at third and Dmitri Young in left. Any ball that isn't hit directly at somebody is probably going to fall in.
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BALTIMORE - Marty Cordova 34 R/R and Gary Matthews Jr. 29 S/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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MATTHEWS | |
2000 | CHC | 80 | 158 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 15 | 28 | 190 | 264 | 297 | 3 | 0 | |
2001 | CHC-PIT | 152 | 405 | 92 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 63 | 44 | 60 | 100 | 227 | 328 | 378 | 8 | 5 | |
2002 | NYM-BAL | 111 | 345 | 95 | 25 | 3 | 7 | 54 | 38 | 43 | 69 | 275 | 354 | 426 | 15 | 5 | |
CORDOVA | |
2000 | TOR | 62 | 200 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 18 | 35 | 245 | 317 | 340 | 3 | 2 | |
2001 | CLE | 122 | 409 | 123 | 20 | 2 | 20 | 61 | 69 | 23 | 81 | 301 | 348 | 506 | 0 | 3 | |
2002 | BAL | 131 | 458 | 116 | 25 | 2 | 18 | 55 | 64 | 47 | 111 | 253 | 325 | 434 | 1 | 6 | |
Cordova played regularly for the Orioles, and had his typical, mediocre season. He also hit .188 in September, when the Orioles were losing almost every day. Cordova's career has been mostly mediocre play sustained by some well-timed hot streaks, but there isn't anything that he does really well.
Cordova also, of course, was the Rookie Of The Year. How in the heck did he beat out Garret Anderson, Andy Pettitte, Shawn Green, Troy Percival and Ray Durham?
Last season was the first time that you could argue that Gary Matthews Jr. had played well. Unfortunately, he didn't play at all during the September swoon, kept out by a bad wrist. Matthews played better than Cordova, plus he's five years younger and costs a lot less. But once again, he's only played well for a few months, and he's not young enough that you can build a team around him.
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KANSAS CITY - Mark Quinn 29 R/R and Dee Brown 25 L/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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QUINN | |
2000 | KC | 135 | 500 | 147 | 33 | 2 | 20 | 76 | 78 | 35 | 91 | 294 | 342 | 488 | 5 | 2 | |
2001 | KC | 118 | 453 | 122 | 31 | 2 | 17 | 57 | 60 | 12 | 69 | 269 | 298 | 459 | 9 | 5 | |
2002 | KC | 23 | 76 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 237 | 301 | 368 | 2 | 1 | |
BROWN | |
2000 | AAA | 125 | 479 | 129 | 25 | 6 | 23 | 76 | 70 | 37 | 112 | 269 | 324 | 491 | 20 | 3 | |
2001 | KC | 106 | 380 | 93 | 19 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 40 | 22 | 81 | 245 | 286 | 350 | 5 | 3 | |
2002 | AAA | 121 | 458 | 126 | 23 | 1 | 17 | 66 | 75 | 44 | 111 | 275 | 344 | 441 | 10 | 4 | |
Two players who disappeared from the Royals' plans in 2002, but are now back. Quinn broke a rib (while roughhousing) before the season started, then missed the entire second half of the season with a strained hamstring. Brown was sent back to the minors after a dismal season with the Royals in 2001.
Neither player is headed in the right direction, but the departure of Chuck Knoblauch has left a hole open in left field, and the Royals don't have many other options.
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