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HOUSTON - Jeff Bagwell 34 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | HOU | 162 | 562 | 171 | 35 | 0 | 42 | 143 | 126 | 149 | 127 | 304 | 454 | 591 | 30 | 11 | |
2000 | HOU | 159 | 590 | 183 | 37 | 1 | 47 | 152 | 132 | 107 | 116 | 310 | 424 | 615 | 9 | 6 | |
2001 | HOU | 161 | 600 | 173 | 43 | 4 | 39 | 126 | 130 | 106 | 135 | 288 | 397 | 568 | 11 | 3 | |
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Bagwell had a bit of an off-year by his own standards, but was still one of the best hitters in the league. Apparently, he played with a bad shoulder all year, and had it surgically repaired after the season. He is one of the best first basemen in baseball history, and a 50-homer season would not surprise me in the slightest.
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COLORADO - Todd Helton 29 L/L |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | COL | 159 | 578 | 185 | 39 | 5 | 35 | 114 | 113 | 68 | 77 | 320 | 395 | 587 | 7 | 6 | |
2000 | COL | 160 | 580 | 216 | 59 | 2 | 42 | 138 | 147 | 103 | 61 | 372 | 463 | 698 | 5 | 3 | |
2001 | COL | 159 | 587 | 197 | 54 | 2 | 49 | 132 | 146 | 98 | 104 | 336 | 432 | 685 | 7 | 5 | |
Helton's home/road numbers from 2001:
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  | GM | AB | HIT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | |
HOME | 81 | 297 | 114 | 31 | 2 | 27 | 81 | 84 | 52 | 47 | 384 | 478 | 774 | |
ROAD | 78 | 290 | 83 | 23 | 0 | 22 | 48 | 62 | 46 | 57 | 286 | 383 | 593 |
I think that Helton, by any measure, has established himself as a great hitter. His road numbers weren't as good as they were in 2000, but I think you can make a reasonable argument that he was hurt by the unbalanced schedule, having to play twice as many games in Los Angeles, San Francisco and San Diego (all pitchers' parks). In another park, he probably has solid .300-.400-.600 percentages.
That ranks him ahead of most other first basemen, but I think that Giambi is clearly the best in baseball, and by a fairly wide margin. I will also stick with Bagwell as the best in the NL, until Bagwell demonstrates that he is in decline.
MID-SEASON UPDATE: Helton still has lofty numbers, including decent ones on the road. He's been the best first sacker in the NL, but not as good as Giambi, Sweeney, Olerud, Konerko and Thome.
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SAN DIEGO - Phil Nevin 31 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | SD | 128 | 383 | 103 | 27 | 0 | 24 | 52 | 85 | 51 | 82 | 269 | 352 | 527 | 1 | 0 | |
2000 | SD | 143 | 538 | 163 | 34 | 1 | 31 | 87 | 107 | 59 | 121 | 303 | 374 | 543 | 2 | 0 | |
2001 | SD | 149 | 546 | 167 | 31 | 0 | 41 | 97 | 126 | 71 | 147 | 306 | 388 | 588 | 4 | 4 | |
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Like Luis Gonzalez, another player who couldn't produce in a Tigers uniform. The Nevinator had a monster season at third for San Diego, and now is moving to first. After three big seasons, we have to believe that his success is not a mirage, that he has in fact learned to hit and is here to stay.
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CINCINNATI - Sean Casey 28 L/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | CIN | 151 | 594 | 197 | 42 | 3 | 25 | 103 | 99 | 61 | 88 | 332 | 399 | 539 | 0 | 2 | |
2000 | CIN | 133 | 480 | 151 | 33 | 2 | 20 | 69 | 85 | 52 | 80 | 315 | 385 | 517 | 1 | 0 | |
2001 | CIN | 145 | 533 | 165 | 40 | 0 | 13 | 69 | 89 | 43 | 63 | 310 | 369 | 458 | 3 | 1 | |
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Casey's power numbers fell, but otherwise he has another solid year. He hits well over .300 every year with line drive power; he's still in his prime, and probably hasn't had his best season yet.
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MILWAUKEE - Richie Sexson 27 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | CLE | 134 | 479 | 122 | 17 | 7 | 31 | 72 | 116 | 34 | 117 | 255 | 305 | 514 | 3 | 3 | |
2000 | CLE-MIL | 148 | 537 | 146 | 30 | 1 | 30 | 89 | 91 | 59 | 159 | 272 | 349 | 499 | 2 | 0 | |
2001 | MIL | 158 | 598 | 162 | 24 | 3 | 45 | 94 | 125 | 60 | 178 | 271 | 342 | 547 | 2 | 4 | |
The new Gorman Thomas; it is entirely appropriate, then, that Sexson should be starrng in a Brewers uniform. He's a big strong guy who hits the ball a long way, also strikes out a lot but keeps his average respectable and draws the occasional walk. He should hit a lot of home runs over the next 2-3 years.
MID-SEASON UPDATE: He's having another good year, batting .282 with prodigious power. Clearly ranks ahead of Casey now.
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CHICAGO CUBS - Fred McGriff 38 L/L |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | TAM | 144 | 529 | 164 | 30 | 1 | 32 | 75 | 104 | 86 | 107 | 310 | 405 | 552 | 1 | 0 | |
2000 | TAM | 158 | 566 | 157 | 18 | 0 | 27 | 82 | 106 | 91 | 120 | 277 | 373 | 452 | 2 | 0 | |
2001 | TAM-CHC | 146 | 513 | 157 | 25 | 2 | 31 | 67 | 102 | 66 | 106 | 306 | 386 | 544 | 1 | 2 | |
Freddy was feeling pretty good last year, at age 37, and put up some solid numbers. He's getting old, but with luck the winds will be blowing out of Wrigley this year.
I'm curious to see how McGriff fares in the Hall Of Fame voting. At first glance, he doesn't seem like a good candidate; he's a power hitter who has never hit 40 homers in a season, even though he plays in the same era as McGwire, Sosa and Bonds. On only a couple of occasions has he been even a mildly serious MVP candidate.
On the other hand, it now seems likely that he will reach 500 home runs. If he reaches that milestone, then he will very likely also get 2500 hits and 1500 RBI. Quick, how many players have put together those kind of numbers, and not made the Hall? Add in a whole bunch of walks, and his career numbers start to look very impressive.
He might also get some sympathy from the voters who realize that he hit his prime just before the homer explosion. True, he has never hit 40 homers in a season, but he led the AL in homers in 1989 and the NL in 1991. Had he been born ten years later, it's not hard to see McGriff hitting 50 homers in a season.
But we'll wait and see; he has to reach 500 homers first. If he breaks his thumb and April and retires, then there isn't a discussion.
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FLORIDA - Derrek Lee 27 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | FLO | 70 | 218 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 17 | 70 | 206 | 263 | 326 | 2 | 1 | |
2000 | FLO | 158 | 477 | 134 | 18 | 3 | 28 | 70 | 70 | 63 | 123 | 281 | 368 | 507 | 0 | 3 | |
2001 | FLO | 158 | 561 | 158 | 37 | 4 | 21 | 83 | 75 | 50 | 126 | 282 | 346 | 474 | 4 | 2 | |
Lee had an awful start to the season, but recovered to post some decent numbers. He is capable of doing better, but he won't hit a lot of home runs as long as he plays in Pro Player Stadium.
MID-SEASON UPDATE: Had another slow start to the season, but has had a lot of extra-base hits recently. He's quietly having an excellent season.
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ARIZONA - Mark Grace 38 L/L |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | CHC | 161 | 593 | 183 | 44 | 5 | 16 | 107 | 91 | 83 | 44 | 309 | 390 | 481 | 3 | 4 | |
2000 | CHC | 143 | 510 | 143 | 41 | 1 | 11 | 75 | 82 | 95 | 28 | 280 | 394 | 429 | 1 | 2 | |
2001 | ARI | 145 | 476 | 142 | 31 | 2 | 15 | 66 | 78 | 67 | 36 | 298 | 386 | 466 | 1 | 0 | |
A veteran left-handed hitter who still hits .300 and gets on base and has doubles power. Every good team needs a guy like Grace, and last year the Diamondbacks were a good team.
Here's another update of the six first basemen born between September 9, 1963 and September 24, 1964:
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NAME | GM | AB | HIT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | |
Mark Grace | 2055 | 7632 | 2343 | 487 | 45 | 163 | 1123 | 1082 | 1013 | 307 | 386 | 447 | 68 | |
Fred McGriff | 2201 | 7865 | 2260 | 397 | 22 | 448 | 1243 | 1400 | 1202 | 287 | 381 | 514 | 71 | |
Rafael Palmeiro | 2258 | 8446 | 2485 | 488 | 36 | 447 | 1357 | 1470 | 1036 | 294 | 372 | 519 | 89 | |
Mark McGwire | 1874 | 6187 | 1626 | 252 | 6 | 583 | 1167 | 1414 | 1317 | 263 | 394 | 588 | 12 | |
Will Clark | 1976 | 7173 | 2176 | 440 | 47 | 284 | 1186 | 1205 | 937 | 303 | 384 | 497 | 67 | |
Cecil Fielder | 1470 | 5157 | 1313 | 200 | 7 | 319 | 744 | 1008 | 693 | 255 | 345 | 482 | 2 |
McGwire has joined Clark and Fielder in retirement. The other three are still going strong; Grace is still the leader in batting average. McGriff and Palmeiro should both pass the 500-homer mark in a couple of years; Palmeiro has a chance to move into the Top 30 in career RBI by the end of this season. Palmeiro should also become the seventh player with 500+ doubles and home runs (Aaron, Mays, Ruth, Robinson, Williams, Murray).
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ST LOUIS - Tino Martinez 34 L/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | NYY | 159 | 589 | 155 | 27 | 2 | 28 | 95 | 105 | 69 | 86 | 263 | 341 | 458 | 3 | 4 | |
2000 | NYY | 155 | 569 | 147 | 37 | 4 | 16 | 69 | 91 | 52 | 74 | 258 | 328 | 422 | 4 | 1 | |
2001 | NYY | 154 | 589 | 165 | 24 | 2 | 34 | 89 | 113 | 42 | 89 | 280 | 329 | 501 | 1 | 2 | |
Martinez rediscovered his power stroke, and played better than he had in previous seasons. He's still not one of the top first sackers in the league, and at age 34 I wouldn't bet on him lasting much longer. But the Cardinals want to win it all, and they will be hoping that Martinez will bring some Yankee Magic with him from the Big Apple.
MID-SEASON UPDATE: He looks like the Tino of 2000, can't hit for average or power.
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NEW YORK METS - Mo Vaughn 34 L/L |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | ANA | 139 | 524 | 147 | 20 | 0 | 33 | 63 | 108 | 54 | 127 | 281 | 358 | 508 | 0 | 0 | |
2000 | ANA | 161 | 614 | 167 | 31 | 0 | 36 | 93 | 117 | 79 | 181 | 272 | 365 | 498 | 2 | 0 | |
2001 | INJURED | |
I don't understand why the Mets made the Vaughn trade. Yeah, they needed to add some punch to their lineup, but they gave up a solid veteran starter in Appier, to get a slugger who will be 34 years old, has just missed a full season with injury, had already started to decline before he got injured, and who is packing a lot of extra weight.
Maybe Vaughn will pull a Dave Parker, come back and lead the league in RBI or something. But I doubt that he will be much of an improvement on Todd Zeile. Vaughn was a terrific hitter in his prime, but has been just ordinary the past three years. I certainly would not have given Appier up to get him.
MID-SEASON UPDATE: Big Mo is hitting like an old guy who can't swing the bat around his waist anymore.
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LOS ANGELES - Eric Karros 34 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | LA | 153 | 578 | 176 | 40 | 0 | 34 | 74 | 112 | 53 | 119 | 304 | 362 | 550 | 8 | 5 | |
2000 | LA | 155 | 584 | 146 | 29 | 0 | 31 | 84 | 106 | 63 | 122 | 250 | 321 | 459 | 4 | 3 | |
2001 | LA | 121 | 438 | 103 | 22 | 0 | 15 | 42 | 63 | 41 | 101 | 235 | 303 | 388 | 3 | 1 | |
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Karros has declined badly each of the last two seasons, and at age 34, the end would appear to be near. He had some injuries last year, so if he is healthy he may be able to take back a little of what he has lost, but I strongly doubt that he will ever be a quality first sacker again.
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PITTSBURGH - Craig Wilson 25 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | AA | 111 | 362 | 97 | 21 | 3 | 20 | 57 | 69 | 40 | 104 | 268 | 367 | 508 | 1 | 3 | |
2000 | AAA | 124 | 396 | 112 | 24 | 2 | 33 | 83 | 86 | 44 | 121 | 283 | 383 | 604 | 1 | 2 | |
2001 | PIT | 88 | 158 | 49 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 27 | 32 | 15 | 53 | 310 | 390 | 589 | 3 | 1 | |
Kevin Young was the Pirates' regular first baseman in 2001. There is a very real possibility that he could be their first sacker this year as well... but I won't contemplate that possibility. Young surprised everybody with a couple of solid seasons, but he is 33 years old and was very bad last year.
On the other hand, the Pirates could use Craig Wilson. Wilson can hit, put up some big numbers in the minors and was very good when he got into the lineup. Wilson can also catch and play the outfield, so the Pirates will have to decide what to do with him. My guess is that they won't make that decision, that they will just move him around the field from one year to the next... but if it was me, I would just stick him at first and let his bat do the talking.
MID-SEASON UPDATE: I can't believe that the Pirates are still using Kevin Young at first; he can't hit. Wilson has played a lot of right field, has hit well enough that they should just hand him the job at first base.
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PHILADELPHIA - Travis Lee 27 L/L |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | ARI | 120 | 375 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 57 | 50 | 58 | 50 | 237 | 337 | 363 | 17 | 3 | |
2000 | ARI-PHI | 128 | 404 | 95 | 24 | 1 | 9 | 53 | 54 | 65 | 79 | 235 | 342 | 366 | 8 | 1 | |
2001 | PHI | 157 | 555 | 143 | 34 | 2 | 20 | 75 | 90 | 71 | 109 | 258 | 341 | 434 | 3 | 4 | |
Lee got the regular first base job in Philly, got off to a good start, then coasted the rest of the season. His numbers were a small improvement on what he had done in the past, and there is always the potential of better things... but notice that it didn't take the Diamondbacks long to win the championship after they got rid of him.
MID-SEASON UPDATE: Lee has struggled, and the Phillies have acquired Jeremy Giambi, who has hit like his brother in a Phillies uniform. Lee's career should be in some trouble.
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SAN FRANCISCO - JT Snow 34 L/L |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | SF | 161 | 570 | 156 | 25 | 2 | 24 | 93 | 98 | 86 | 121 | 274 | 370 | 451 | 0 | 4 | |
2000 | SF | 155 | 536 | 152 | 33 | 2 | 19 | 82 | 96 | 66 | 129 | 284 | 365 | 459 | 1 | 3 | |
2001 | SF | 101 | 285 | 70 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 43 | 34 | 55 | 81 | 246 | 371 | 379 | 0 | 0 | |
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A wizard with the glove who does a solid job of getting on base. Snow was injured, however, and lost his power stroke; at age 34, he has no upside, and can't be considered a quality regular. The Giants may try to start the year with Snow in a platoon with somebody; they may also move Jeff Kent permanently to first, if they can find an adequate replacement for him at second.
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ATLANTA - BJ Surhoff 38 L/R or Wes Helms 26 R/R or Julio Franco 41 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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SURHOFF | |
1999 | BAL | 162 | 673 | 207 | 38 | 1 | 28 | 104 | 107 | 43 | 78 | 308 | 347 | 492 | 5 | 1 | |
2000 | BAL-ATL | 147 | 539 | 157 | 36 | 2 | 14 | 69 | 68 | 41 | 58 | 291 | 344 | 443 | 10 | 2 | |
2001 | ATL | 141 | 484 | 131 | 33 | 1 | 10 | 68 | 58 | 38 | 48 | 271 | 321 | 405 | 9 | 3 | |
HELMS | |
1999 | AA | 30 | 113 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 7 | 34 | 301 | 347 | 566 | 1 | 0 | |
2000 | AAA | 136 | 539 | 155 | 27 | 7 | 20 | 74 | 88 | 27 | 92 | 288 | 325 | 475 | 0 | 6 | |
2001 | ATL | 100 | 216 | 48 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 21 | 56 | 222 | 293 | 435 | 1 | 1 | |
FRANCO | |
2001 | ATL | 25 | 90 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 300 | 376 | 444 | 0 | 0 | |
The Braves suffered for most of the season without a first baseman, before they were finally forced to bring Julio Franco out of semi-retirement. Funny thing, though; Franco did a pretty good job, and was certainly not the reason they were dumped in the playoffs.
I think that Franco has had an amazing, underrated career, but obviously he is not a good long-term solution to the Braves' first base problem. That said, their other options are limited. BJ Surhoff's best days are well behind him, Wes Helms is a mediocre prospect at best. It seems hard to believe that a team with the Braves' resources could go so long without a quality first sacker, but spring training has started...
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MONTREAL - Lee Stevens 35 L/L |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | TEX | 146 | 517 | 146 | 31 | 1 | 24 | 76 | 81 | 52 | 132 | 282 | 344 | 485 | 2 | 3 | |
2000 | MON | 123 | 449 | 119 | 27 | 2 | 22 | 60 | 75 | 48 | 105 | 265 | 337 | 481 | 0 | 0 | |
2001 | MON | 152 | 542 | 133 | 35 | 1 | 25 | 77 | 95 | 74 | 157 | 245 | 338 | 452 | 2 | 1 | |
Stevens' power numbers continued to head south last year. He is a minor-league first baseman whom the Expos play every day because he is a veteran and he doesn't cost very much.
MID-SEASON UPDATE: Stevens struggled badly; somehow, the Expos were able to trade him for Bartolo Colon. Now, they are trying out Andres Galaragga at first base. Hey, the Big Cat's already had about ten comebacks, what's one more?
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