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NEW YORK YANKEES - Bernie Williams 34 S/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | NYY | 158 | 591 | 202 | 28 | 6 | 25 | 116 | 115 | 100 | 95 | 342 | 435 | 536 | 9 | 10 | |
2000 | NYY | 141 | 537 | 165 | 37 | 6 | 30 | 108 | 121 | 71 | 84 | 307 | 391 | 566 | 13 | 5 | |
2001 | NYY | 146 | 540 | 166 | 38 | 0 | 26 | 102 | 94 | 78 | 67 | 307 | 395 | 522 | 11 | 5 | |
Mr. Consistency had another super season for the Yankees; after Griffey's off-season, Williams has clearly established himself as the best centre fielder in baseball. He's also a killer in the playoffs. The Yankees have three centre fielders in the Hall Of Fame; it is now becoming apparent that Williams may be the fourth.
MID-SEASON UPDATE: Still the best in the American League.
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KANSAS CITY - Carlos Beltran 25 S/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | KC | 156 | 663 | 194 | 27 | 7 | 22 | 112 | 108 | 46 | 123 | 293 | 337 | 454 | 27 | 8 | |
2000 | KC | 98 | 372 | 92 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 49 | 44 | 35 | 69 | 247 | 309 | 366 | 13 | 0 | |
2001 | KC | 155 | 617 | 189 | 32 | 12 | 24 | 106 | 101 | 52 | 120 | 306 | 362 | 514 | 31 | 1 | |
After a puky sophomore season, Beltran came back with a great year, and may have been the best outfielder in the American League. Over the past two seasons, he has stolen 44 bases, and been caught just once. Last year, I was skeptical about whether he would ever be a star, and I'm sure there are lingering questions about whether his head is in the right place. But given last year's performance, I have to think that he will be one of the best players in the league for the next few years.
MID-SEASON UPDATE: The other Carlos Beltran has reared his ugly head this season. He hasn't played badly, but he's not a star.
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SEATTLE - Mike Cameron 29 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | CIN | 146 | 542 | 139 | 34 | 9 | 21 | 93 | 66 | 80 | 145 | 256 | 357 | 469 | 38 | 12 | |
2000 | SEA | 155 | 543 | 145 | 28 | 4 | 19 | 96 | 78 | 78 | 133 | 267 | 365 | 438 | 24 | 7 | |
2001 | SEA | 150 | 540 | 144 | 30 | 5 | 25 | 99 | 110 | 69 | 155 | 267 | 353 | 480 | 34 | 5 | |
Cameron has done a good job taking over for Griffey in Seattle. He's a solid hitter, has some power and speed, and is a very fine defensive player. He's in his prime now, probably won't get much better than he is now (unless he moves to another team; like many Mariners hitters, he struggles badly at Safeco Field). An important part of a fine ballclub.
MID-SEASON UPDATE: Hit four home runs in a game early in the season, and has struggled horribly ever since; his average has dropped to .217.
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BOSTON - Johnny Damon 28 L/L |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | KC | 145 | 583 | 179 | 39 | 9 | 14 | 101 | 77 | 67 | 50 | 307 | 379 | 477 | 36 | 6 | |
2000 | KC | 159 | 655 | 214 | 42 | 10 | 16 | 136 | 88 | 65 | 60 | 327 | 382 | 495 | 46 | 9 | |
2001 | OAK | 155 | 644 | 165 | 34 | 4 | 9 | 108 | 49 | 61 | 70 | 256 | 324 | 363 | 27 | 12 | |
His first and only season in Oakland was a stinker; Damon now moves to Boston, and you would think that he will be a perfect fit there. The Monster in left, the kookie dimensions in centre, the short pole in right... Damon's hitting style and speed should make good use of all those Fenway peculiarities. Damon's had an odd career, and it's hard to say what he will do next... but he could win the batting title.
MID-SEASON UPDATE: Had a hot start, has cooled a little bit but was still an All-Star. Fenway suits him well.
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TORONTO - Jose Cruz 28 S/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | TOR | 106 | 349 | 84 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 63 | 45 | 64 | 91 | 241 | 358 | 433 | 14 | 4 | |
2000 | TOR | 162 | 603 | 146 | 32 | 5 | 31 | 91 | 76 | 71 | 129 | 242 | 323 | 466 | 15 | 5 | |
2001 | TOR | 146 | 577 | 158 | 38 | 4 | 34 | 92 | 88 | 45 | 138 | 274 | 326 | 530 | 32 | 5 | |
Cruz had his best season, and has finally developed into a quality player. He is a fine defensive player with power and speed; in the past he has shown a good batting eye, but last year started swinging at more pitches early in the count. The result: fewer walks, a better batting average. Now, if he could keep his average over .270, and draw 70+ walks at the same time, he would be a formidable player. But that's a little like walking and chewing gum at the same time, not the easiest thing in the world.
By the way, and this comment is directed more at Toronto fans than anyone else, Cruz doesn't strike out nearly as often as everyone seems to think he does. 138 K's in 577 at bats, for a modern-day centre fielder? That's nothing compared to some other guys.
MID-SEASON UPDATE: Vernon Wells has taken over centre field duties in Toronto, and has been pretty boring. Cruz has moved to left, and then right, and has been pretty boring.
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ANAHEIM - Darin Erstad 28 L/L |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | ANA | 142 | 585 | 148 | 22 | 5 | 13 | 84 | 53 | 47 | 101 | 253 | 308 | 374 | 13 | 7 | |
2000 | ANA | 157 | 676 | 240 | 39 | 6 | 25 | 121 | 100 | 64 | 82 | 355 | 409 | 541 | 28 | 8 | |
2001 | ANA | 157 | 631 | 163 | 35 | 1 | 9 | 89 | 63 | 62 | 113 | 258 | 331 | 360 | 24 | 10 | |
Erstad will apparently play centre field this year for Anaheim, though he can also play first base, and the Angels have more outfielders than they do first basemen.
Angels fans and like-minded individuals (myself included) have been predicting stardom for Erstad for several years now. He hit paydirt in 2000, banging out 240 hits, but that season has been sandwiched in between a pair of stinkers. The Angels are hoping for a comeback in 2002, while skeptics think that 2000 was an overachievement.
What do I think? My guess is that Erstad is the new Mickey Vernon. In fact, if he moves to first base (which he may before the season ends), he may as well change his name to Mickey Vernon. Here is Erstad's 2000 season,
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Erstad | |
2000 | ANA | 157 | 676 | 240 | 39 | 6 | 25 | 121 | 100 | 64 | 82 | 355 | 412 | 541 | 28 | 8
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and here are a couple of Mickey Vernon seasons:
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Vernon | |
1946 | WAS | 148 | 587 | 207 | 51 | 8 | 8 | 88 | 85 | 49 | 64 | 353 | 403 | 508 | 14 | 10 | |
1953 | WAS | 152 | 608 | 205 | 43 | 11 | 15 | 101 | 115 | 63 | 57 | 337 | 403 | 518 | 4 | 6 |
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Erstad had more homers, stolen bases and strikeouts, more of a function of the era in which he plays than his own skills. Otherwise, it's a decent match. These were Vernon's best seasons; he bounced up and down from year to year, sometimes playing well, sometimes playing like Erstad did last year. I suspect that Erstad will amble along in similar fashion.
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OAKLAND - Terrence Long 26 L/L |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | AAA | 118 | 458 | 137 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 68 | 33 | 70 | 300 | 348 | 441 | 21 | 10 | |
2000 | OAK | 138 | 584 | 168 | 34 | 4 | 18 | 104 | 80 | 43 | 77 | 288 | 336 | 452 | 5 | 0 | |
2001 | OAK | 162 | 629 | 178 | 37 | 4 | 12 | 90 | 85 | 52 | 103 | 283 | 335 | 412 | 9 | 3 | |
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Long's sophomore season was an almost exact copy of his 2000 performance, except he didn't have quite as many homers. He's clearly not going to be a star, but he should be a solid player for a few years. Not everyone is convinced that he can play centre field on a regular basis. But hey, the Athletics won a World Series with Dave Henderson is centre field; I think Long can handle the job.
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TEXAS - Carl Everett 31 S/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | HOU | 123 | 464 | 151 | 33 | 3 | 25 | 86 | 108 | 50 | 94 | 325 | 398 | 571 | 27 | 7 | |
2000 | BOS | 137 | 496 | 149 | 32 | 4 | 34 | 82 | 108 | 52 | 113 | 300 | 373 | 587 | 11 | 4 | |
2001 | BOS | 102 | 409 | 105 | 24 | 4 | 14 | 61 | 58 | 27 | 104 | 257 | 323 | 438 | 9 | 2 | |
Everett is a potent switch-hitter who is capable of carrying a team with his bat. He's also got a few screws loose, and last year was a disaster on and off the field, getting his manager fired while helping to sink his team.
So the Rangers are going to take a chance on him. If he's happy and focused then he is a terrific player. But the Rangers have lots of outfielders; if I were John Hart, and Everett started to mouth off during the season, I would dump him as fast as possible.
ADDENDUM: Everett has shown up for camp 20 pounds overweight. Can you write the next chapter of this story?
MID-SEASON UPDATE: Everett is batting .193.
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MINNESOTA - Torii Hunter 27 R/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | MIN | 135 | 384 | 98 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 52 | 35 | 26 | 72 | 255 | 309 | 380 | 10 | 6 | |
2000 | MIN | 99 | 336 | 94 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 44 | 18 | 68 | 280 | 318 | 408 | 4 | 3 | |
2001 | MIN | 148 | 564 | 147 | 32 | 5 | 27 | 82 | 92 | 29 | 125 | 261 | 306 | 479 | 9 | 6 | |
Hunter had a dream season, leading the Twins in homers while winning a Gold Glove in centre field. Don't get too excited, though - he's not a star, and isn't going to be one. More of the same next year, but I wouldn't count on his career lasting very long. Check out his strikeouts and walks; his poor plate discipline is going to be his undoing.
MID-SEASON UPDATE: Hunter has been terrific at the plate and spectacular in the field. He's the Twins' MVP, and just made a great catch in the All-Star Game.
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BALTIMORE - Chris Singleton 30 L/L |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | CHW | 133 | 496 | 149 | 31 | 6 | 17 | 72 | 72 | 22 | 45 | 300 | 328 | 490 | 20 | 5 | |
2000 | CHW | 147 | 511 | 130 | 22 | 5 | 11 | 83 | 62 | 35 | 85 | 254 | 301 | 382 | 22 | 7 | |
2001 | CHW | 140 | 392 | 117 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 45 | 20 | 61 | 298 | 331 | 431 | 12 | 11 | |
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Singleton almost played as well last year as he did in his rookie season, and that's probably as good as it gets. He is a strong defensive player who can hit .300; he doesn't get on base or hit with power, and he also didn't steal many bases last season. He will be a starter in Baltimore, but he is also turning 30; he'll stick around a few more years, mostly as a bench player.
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CHICAGO WHITE SOX - Kenny Lofton 35 L/L |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | CLE | 120 | 465 | 140 | 28 | 6 | 7 | 110 | 39 | 79 | 84 | 301 | 405 | 432 | 25 | 6 | |
2000 | CLE | 137 | 543 | 151 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 107 | 73 | 79 | 72 | 278 | 369 | 422 | 30 | 7 | |
2001 | CLE | 133 | 517 | 135 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 91 | 66 | 47 | 69 | 261 | 322 | 398 | 16 | 8 | |
The White Sox traded away Chris Singleton and replaced him in centre field with Lofton, formerly of the Indians. Singleton is five years younger, and was probably a better player than Lofton last year, so I wasn't sure what the Sox were hoping to gain.
I got the answer today in a Peter Gammons column, in which Sox GM Kenny Williams claims that Lofton is trying yoga in an attempt to get back what he has lost. Hey man, whatever works, right? The Sox need a leadoff man to set the table for all of their sluggers, and Lofton used to be a good one; maybe he can do better, but those legs are running out of steam.
MID-SEASON UPDATE: Lofton had a super-hot start to the season, but his average has dropped to .253. Time to come to grips with reality: the end is near.
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TAMPA BAY - Jason Tyner 25 L/L |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | AA | 129 | 518 | 162 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 91 | 33 | 62 | 46 | 313 | 387 | 369 | 49 | 15 | |
2000 | AAA | 84 | 327 | 105 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 54 | 28 | 30 | 32 | 321 | 380 | 349 | 33 | 14 | |
2000 | NYM-TAM | 50 | 124 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 226 | 261 | 258 | 7 | 2 | |
2001 | TAM | 105 | 396 | 111 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 51 | 21 | 15 | 42 | 280 | 311 | 326 | 31 | 6 | |
Tyner's a speed demon who has been given a chance to play by a bad team. He's fast, but he has no power, and last year didn't draw any walks. He will have to dramatically improve his on-base percentage if he is going to be a useful player. He has yet to hit a home run since he entered pro ball in 1998.
MID-SEASON UPDATE: Randy Winn has been playing centre field in Tampa Bay, and has played well. Tyner has been in left, and still hasn't hit a home run.
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DETROIT - Jose Macias 28 S/R |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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1999 | AAA | 112 | 438 | 107 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 36 | 36 | 60 | 244 | 306 | 336 | 10 | 5 | |
2000 | AAA | 33 | 130 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 231 | 322 | 269 | 2 | 3 | |
2000 | DET | 73 | 173 | 44 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 24 | 18 | 24 | 254 | 328 | 364 | 2 | 0 | |
2001 | DET | 137 | 488 | 131 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 62 | 51 | 32 | 54 | 268 | 316 | 391 | 21 | 6 | |
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Macias got some playing time, and overachieved at the plate, batting .268 with 8 homers. Not exactly stunning numbers, but good enough for the Tigers. Apparently, Macias will be moved to the outfield, where the Tigers need some help. He's not a good long-term solution, or even a short-term solution for that matter.
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CLEVELAND - Milton Bradley 24 S/R or Brady Anderson 38 L/L |
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YEAR | TM | GM | AB | HT | DB | TP | HR | RUN | RBI | BB | SO | AVG | OBA | SLU | SB | CS |
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ANDERSON | |
1999 | BAL | 150 | 564 | 159 | 28 | 5 | 24 | 109 | 81 | 96 | 105 | 282 | 404 | 477 | 36 | 7 | |
2000 | BAL | 141 | 506 | 130 | 26 | 0 | 19 | 89 | 50 | 92 | 103 | 257 | 375 | 421 | 16 | 9 | |
2001 | BAL | 131 | 430 | 87 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 50 | 45 | 60 | 77 | 202 | 311 | 300 | 12 | 4 | |
BRADLEY | |
1999 | AAA | 87 | 346 | 114 | 22 | 5 | 12 | 62 | 50 | 33 | 61 | 304 | 328 | 364 | 14 | 10 | |
2000 | AAA | 88 | 342 | 104 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 58 | 29 | 45 | 56 | 272 | 328 | 364 | 10 | 15 | |
2001 | AAA | 65 | 250 | 66 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 39 | 28 | 42 | 61 | 264 | 367 | 404 | 23 | 3 | |
2000 | MON | 42 | 154 | 34 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 14 | 32 | 221 | 328 | 364 | 2 | 1 | |
2001 | MON-CLE | 77 | 238 | 53 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 19 | 21 | 65 | 223 | 316 | 391 | 8 | 5
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Bradley was once a top prospect in the Expos' system, based more on his athletic ability than on his skill as a ballplayer. After three mediocre seasons at Triple-A, and two unimpressive stints in the majors, plus a variety of attitude problems, his stock has dropped considerably. The Indians are going to give him a chance to play in centre, though they are keeping Brady Anderson around in case Bradley can't cut it; I don't expect that he will become much of a player.
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