DETROIT TIGERS


Dusty Allen (1B/OF, 29, R/R)
 YEAR      TM  GM  AB  HT DB TP HR RUN RBI  BB  SO  AVG OBA SLU  SB  CS
 1998  AA-AAA 129 446 117 31  5 22  72  87  63 106  262 360 502   1   2
 1999     AAA 128 454 124 30  3 18  68  69  79 143  273 381 471   3   5
 2000     AAA  92 312  89 19  4 16  61  67  63  77  285 407 526   0   2

 
      Allen has been stuck in the minors for a few years, slowly improving as a hitter. He made his major league debut with the Padres during the summer, then was dealt to the Tigers. He doesn't have much of a future, but he hits a little bit, and is a better option than Hal Morris or Gregg Jefferies.

 
Matt Anderson (25, R)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 1998     DET   5   1  42  0  0  0  0  44  38  31  44 327
 1999     DET   2   1  37  0  0  0  0  38  33  35  32 568
 2000     DET   3   2  69  0  0  0  1  74  61  45  71 472

 
      Anderson is a prized young pitcher whom the Tigers rushed to the big leagues a couple of years ago; so far, the gamble appears to be paying off. Anderson has stayed healthy, and last year started to look like a fine young pitcher. He still walks too many batters, though his control improved a great deal last year. The trade of Brocail means that Anderson should step in and become the setup man in 2001, and will possibly be the closer within 2-3 years.

 
Rich Becker (OF, 29, L/L)
 YEAR      TM  GM  AB  HT DB TP HR RUN RBI  BB  SO  AVG OBA SLU  SB  CS
 1998 BAL-NYM 128 213  42  5  2  6  37  21  43  76  197 337 324   5   1
 1999 MIL-OAK 129 264  68  8  2  6  36  26  58  81  258 395 371   8   2
 2000 OAK-DET 115 285  69 14  0  8  59  39  67  87  242 384 375   2   2

 
      Becker was released by Oakland in May, then signed by the Tigers. I wonder why Oakland released him... sure, he doesn't hit for a high average, but Becker gets on base and hits for some power and runs the bases well and plays very good defense. He's an ideal fourth outfield, and he can play on my team anytime.

 
Adam Bernero (24, R)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 1999       A   8   4  15 15  2  1  0  96  75  23  80 254
 2000  AA-AAA   5   6  17 17  1  1  0 109  88  34  83 265
2000 DET 0 1 12 4 0 0 0 34 33 13 20 419

 
      Bernero is a young pitcher who has been in pro ball only two years, but he has moved quickly through the Tigers' system. He looks very good, and if he stays healthy he will likely become a fine pitcher. I would like to see him spend a few more months at Toledo.

 
Willie Blair (35, R)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 1998 ARI-NYM   5  16  34 25  0  0  0 175 188  61  92 498
 1999     DET   3  11  39 16  0  0  0 134 169  44  82 685
 2000     DET  10   6  47 17  0  0  0 157 185  35  74 488

 
      Blair was not someone I expected to have a winning season last year, but strange things happen when you throw nothing but strikes. It was only his third winning season since 1990, and he's never had two in a row. He's a survivor, probably shouldn't be in the starting rotation, but can thrive in the same role he had last year, piling up innings in long relief while making some spot starts.

 
Dave Borkowski (24, R)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 1999     DET   2   6  17 12  0  0  0  77  86  40  50 610
1998 AA 16 7 28 28 3 1 0 179 204 54 97 463 1999 AAA 6 8 19 19 3 0 0 126 119 43 94 350 2000 AAA 3 1 8 8 0 0 0 47 44 14 29 440

 
      Borkowski is one of the Tigers' best pitching prospects, but he had a disappointing season that ended with bone chips being removed from his elbow. He is still very young, hasn't been rushed, and bone chips aren't the worst thing in the world; he's a good prospect, but probably won't make an immediate impact.

 
Javier Cardona (CA, 26, R/R)
 YEAR      TM  GM  AB  HT DB TP HR RUN RBI  BB  SO  AVG OBA SLU  SB  CS
 1998      AA  46 163  54 16  1  4  31  40  15  29  331 387 515   0   0
 1998     AAA  47 162  31  4  0  5  12  16   9  32  191 238 309   0   0
 1999      AA 108 418 129 31  0 26  84  92  46  69  309 384 569   4   2
 2000     AAA  56 218  60 10  0 11  29  43  15  33  275 325 472   0   1
2000 DET 26 40 7 1 0 1 1 2 0 9 175 190 275 0 0

 
      A pair of awful months in 1998 with Toledo set Cardona's career back a year. Last season he got his second chance at playing with the Mudhens, and fared better. He's a decent young catcher who can hit a little, and who might develop surprising power.

 
Roger Cedeno (OF, 27, S/R)
 YEAR      TM  GM  AB  HT DB TP HR RUN RBI  BB  SO  AVG OBA SLU  SB  CS
 1998      LA 105 240  58 11  1  2  33  17  27  57  242 317 321   8   2
 1999     NYM 155 453 142 23  4  4  90  36  60 100  313 396 408  66  17
 2000     HOU  74 259  73  2  5  6  54  26  43  47  282 383 398  25  11

 
      Cedeno's only season in Houston will be remembered mostly for a ruptured tendon in his finger; he missed half the season, and stole only 25 bases. When he was in the lineup, he was solid... although he hit only 2 doubles. How does that happen? Only 15% of Cedeno's extra-base hits were doubles; I wonder if that is a record?

 
Tony Clark (1B, 29, S/R)
 YEAR      TM  GM  AB  HT DB TP HR RUN RBI  BB  SO  AVG OBA SLU  SB  CS
 1998     DET 157 602 175 37  0 34  84 103  63 128  291 358 522   3   3
 1999     DET 143 536 150 29  0 31  74  99  64 133  280 361 507   2   1
 2000     DET  60 208  57 14  0 13  32  37  24  51  274 349 529   0   0

 
      Clark had a dismal start to the season, then rescued his statistics with a blazing hot streak. This was not a surprise; he is usually either ice-cold or sizzling-hot, and rarely something in between. His playing time was cut last season by three trips to the DL, two of them caused by back problems. Clark is a fine player, but I'm wary of 6'7" players with bad backs.

 
Deivi Cruz (SS, 25, R/R)
 YEAR      TM  GM  AB  HT DB TP HR RUN RBI  BB  SO  AVG OBA SLU  SB  CS
 1998     DET 135 454 118 22  3  5  52  45  13  55  260 284 355   3   4
 1999     DET 155 518 147 35  0 13  64  58  12  57  284 302 427   1   4
 2000     DET 156 583 176 46  5 10  68  82  13  43  302 318 449   1   4

 
      Cruz continues to make quantum leaps forward as a hitter. He is vastly better than he was three years ago, and at age 25 is among the better shortstops in the league. My guess is that he can't get any better than he is now, unless he learns to take a few more pitches... but for the moment, he is a terrific player.

 
Damian Easley (2B, 31, R/R)
 YEAR      TM  GM  AB  HT DB TP HR RUN RBI  BB  SO  AVG OBA SLU  SB  CS
 1998     DET 153 594 161 38  2 27  84 100  39 112  271 332 478  15   5
 1999     DET 151 549 146 30  1 20  83  65  51 124  266 346 434  11   3
 2000     DET 126 464 120 27  2 14  76  58  55  79  259 350 416  13   4

 
      Easley's a good, solid second baseman. His batting and slugging averages have declined the past two years, but his OBA's have gone up. He spent some time on the DL with a rib cage injury, the first injury he had had in four years as the Tigers' second baseman. He's above average, provides a little bit of everything, and is probably due for a better season in 2001.

 
Juan Encarnacion (CF, 25, R/R)
 YEAR      TM  GM  AB  HT DB TP HR RUN RBI  BB  SO  AVG OBA SLU  SB  CS
 1998     DET  40 164  54  9  4  7  30  21   7  31  329 354 561   7   4
 1999     DET 132 509 130 30  6 19  62  74  14 113  255 287 450  33  12
 2000     DET 141 547 158 25  6 14  75  72  29  90  289 330 433  16   4

 
      Encarnacion is one of the Tigers' better players, and he played much better in 2000 than before. He doesn't do any one thing particularly well; he doesn't hit .300 or hit for power or draw many walks or steal a whole bunch of bases. He's an okay player, does a bit of everything... I still think he's a little like a young Juan Samuel, though I doubt he will be as good or last as long.

 
Rob Fick (CA/1B, 27, L/R)
 YEAR      TM  GM  AB  HT DB TP HR RUN RBI  BB  SO  AVG OBA SLU  SB  CS
 1998      AA 130 515 164 47  6 18 101 114  71  83  318 401 538   8   4
1999 DET 15 41 9 0 0 3 6 10 7 6 220 327 439 1 0 2000 DET 66 163 41 7 2 3 18 22 22 39 252 340 374 2 1

 
      Fick is a hitter who underachieved in 2000. Left-handed catchers who can swing the bat are always in short supply, and Fick can make a lot of money if he plays as well as he is capable of.

 
Shane Halter (IF/OF, 31, R/R)
 YEAR      TM  GM  AB  HT DB TP HR RUN RBI  BB  SO  AVG OBA SLU  SB  CS
 1999     AAA 127 474 130 22  3  6  77  35  60  90  274 354 371  19  18
1998 KC 86 204 45 12 0 2 17 13 12 38 221 265 309 2 5 2000 DET 105 238 62 12 2 3 26 27 14 49 261 302 366 5 2

 
      On the last day of the season, Halter played every position in the field, including catcher and pitcher. He became only the fourth player in major league history to do this... but the second of 2000 (Scott Sheldon had performed the feat earlier in the year for Texas). On the field, Halter is a capable utility player, nothing special.

 
Bobby Higginson (LF, 31, L/R)
 YEAR      TM  GM  AB  HT DB TP HR RUN RBI  BB  SO  AVG OBA SLU  SB  CS
 1998     DET 157 612 174 37  4 25  92  85  63 101  284 355 480   3   3
 1999     DET 107 377  90 18  0 12  51  46  64  66  239 351 382   4   6
 2000     DET 154 597 179 44  4 30 104 102  74  99  300 377 538  15   3

 
      Higginson had his best season, in what is shaping up to be a pretty solid career. Of his 30 homers, 18 were hit on the road... but he adapted well to the large confines of Comerica Park, batting .333 with 28 doubles at home. He also proved again that he has one of the best throwing arms in baseball, leading the majors with 19 outfield assists. A terrific player, should be due for another fine season in 2001.

 
Erik Hiljus (28, R)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 1998      AA   2   3  42  0  0  0  2  66  49  35  85 370
 1999     AAA   2   3  33  0  0  0  5  59  49  16  73 440
 2000     AAA   5   3  46  0  0  0  2  71  67  20  81 344

 
      Hiljus had a disappointing season, spending almost the who year at Toledo despite pitching well. I think he has a good arm, and he can be a valuable asset to anyone's bullpen. That the Tigers, of all teams, should not have room for him on their roster, is puzzling. We'll have to wait and see what they decide to do with him this year; the good news is that Hiljus can pitch well in any uniform.

 
Chris Holt (30, R)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 1999     HOU   5  13  32 26  0  0  1 164 193  57 115 466
 2000     HOU   8  16  34 32  3  1  0 207 247  75 136 535

 
      The new Mike Morgan, Holt now has a career record of 21-42 after four major league seasons. He was acquired by the Tigers during the winter, and will presumably be a key part of their starting rotation... he's not the worst pitcher in the world, but there is no reason to think that he will suddenly get better.

 
Gregg Jefferies (1B, 34, S/R)
 YEAR      TM  GM  AB  HT DB TP HR RUN RBI  BB  SO  AVG OBA SLU  SB  CS
 1998 PHI-ANA 144 555 167 28  3  9  72  58  29  32  301 336 411  12   3
 1999     DET  70 205  41  8  0  6  22  18  13  11  200 258 327   3   4
 2000     DET  41 142  39  8  0  2  18  14  16  10  275 344 373   0   2

 
      He announced his retirement after the season, apparently annoyed by the fact that he can't play anymore. Jefferies began his career as a super-prospect for the Mets, played for 14 years, pounded out 1593 hits... but his two seasons in St. Louis (93-94) were really the only outstanding ones in his career. He still might decide to "unretire" and make a few bucks, but he really doesn't help a team win anymore.

 
Mark Johnson (26, R)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 1998      AA   5  14  26 26  2  0  0 142 147  60 120 462
 1999      AA   9   3  16 15  0  0  0  88  88  39  52 368
 2000     AAA   2  11  17 17  1  0  0 100 142  26  48 657
2000 DET 0 1 9 3 0 0 0 24 25 16 11 750

 
      A young pitcher with the Tigers who offers little hope for the future. Johnson didn't look too bad with Norwich in 1999, but was just awful last year with Toledo. Two of the past three seasons have been disastrous for Johnson; there's very little reason to think that he will contribute in 2001.

 
Todd Jones (33, R)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 1998     DET   1   4  65  0  0  0 28  63  58  36  57 497
 1999     DET   4   4  65  0  0  0 30  66  64  35  64 380
 2000     DET   2   4  67  0  0  0 42  64  67  25  67 352

 
      He had a surprisingly good year; Jones was among the better closers in the league, and tied for the AL lead in saves. To be honest, most of the saves he had were pretty easy ones, but after four years with Detroit he has established himself as a solid closer. He has good control, gets strikeouts, gives up too many hits and is vulnerable to left-handers.

 
Masao Kida (33, R)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 1999     DET   1   0  49  0  0  0  1  65  73  30  50 626
2000 AAA 2 1 21 0 0 0 7 20 21 4 26 216

 
      The Kida Era in Detroit ended abruptly in June when the Tigers sold him back to Japan. He wasn't even pitching badly at the time, but I guess it just wasn't meant to be.

 
Rod Lindsey (OF, 25, R/R)
 YEAR      TM  GM  AB  HT DB TP HR RUN RBI  BB  SO  AVG OBA SLU  SB  CS
 1998       A  85 313  85 11  8  7  69  34  39  96  272 375 425  60  12
 1999       A 120 485 129 20  8  7  81  51  25 129  266 323 384  61  20
 2000      AA 114 393  88 11  4  0  57  20  38 100  224 308 272  46  14

 
      Mediocre young Tiger prospect. Lindsay has speed, but doesn't have much else to offer. He has moved very slowly through the minors, and his first year at Double-A was a poor one. He doesn't have much plate discipline, though he does a good job of getting hit by pitches. Not much of a future.

 
Jose Macias (IF, 27, S/R)
 YEAR      TM  GM  AB  HT DB TP HR RUN RBI  BB  SO  AVG OBA SLU  SB  CS
 1998      AA 128 511 156 28 10 12  82  71  52  46  305 372 470   6   9
 1999     AAA 112 438 107 18  8  2  44  36  36  60  244 306 336  10   5
 2000     AAA  33 130  30  5  0  0  19   8  17  17  231 322 269   2   3
2000 DET 73 173 44 3 5 2 25 24 18 24 254 328 364 2 0

 
      Macias' career has stalled badly the past two seasons, but at least he showed the Tigers that he can hit a little against big league pitching. He plays all over the field, but doesn't do much with the bat except hit triples; if he keeps his average over .250, he will be will suited to a utility role.

 
Wendell Magee (OF, 29, R/R)
 YEAR      TM  GM  AB  HT DB TP HR RUN RBI  BB  SO  AVG OBA SLU  SB  CS
 1998     AAA 126 507 147 30  7 24  86  72  46 102  290 349 519   7   7
 1999     AAA 142 566 160 34  2 20  95  79  55 124  283 346 456  10   8
1998 PHI 20 75 22 6 1 1 9 11 7 11 293 354 440 0 0 2000 DET 91 186 51 4 2 7 31 31 10 28 274 310 430 1 0

 
      Magee spent most of the season on the Tigers' roster, and did a good job off the bench. He can play all three outfield positions, and he can hit a little, and those are good skills to have.

 
Allen McDill (30, L)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 1998     AAA   6   4  61  0  0  0  4  60  54  24  62 239
 1999     AAA   1   3  42  0  0  0 18  48  45  17  46 372
 2000     AAA   1   2  39  0  0  0  0  43  45  24  43 291
2000 DET 0 0 13 0 0 0 0 10 13 1 7 720

 
      McDill is a veteran minor-league southpaw whose duty is to get out left-handed hitters. He could probably do the job as well as anyone else, but if the Tigers decide that Sean Runyan is ready to come back, I expect that McDill will start the year back in the minors.

 
Mitch Meluskey (CA, 28, S/R)
 YEAR      TM  GM  AB  HT DB TP HR RUN RBI  BB  SO  AVG OBA SLU  SB  CS
 1998     AAA 121 397 140 41  0 17  76  71  85  59  353 465 584   2   0
1999 HOU 10 33 7 1 0 1 4 3 5 6 220 319 341 1 0 2000 HOU 117 337 101 21 0 14 47 69 55 74 300 401 487 1 0

 
      It took awhile for Meluskey to arrive in the big leagues, but his rookie year was an impressive one. He's a switch-hitting catcher who can hit, and that should keep him employed for a few years. He's moving from Houston to Detroit, from a good hitters' park to a bad one. His ability to stay healthy is also a question mark.

 
Dave Mlicki (33, R)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 1998  NYM-LA   8   7  30 30  3  0  0 181 188  63 117 457
 1999  LA-DET  14  13  33 31  2  0  0 199 219  72 120 461
 2000     DET   6  11  24 21  0  0  0 119 143  44  57 558

 
      Mlicki had a miserable season, and also suffered off the field with a chronic sinus infection. He has good control, and that's about the only good thing I can say about him; I don't expect many wins in 2001.

 
Brian Moehler (29, R)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 1998     DET  14  13  33 33  4  3  0 221 220  56 123 390
 1999     DET  10  16  32 32  2  2  0 196 229  59 106 504
 2000     DET  12   9  29 29  2  0  0 178 222  40 103 450

 
      Moehler was slowed down early in the season by an appendectomy, but otherwise had another good year for the Tigers. He's a solid pitcher with very good control, probably won't get much better than he is now but is always capable of winning 12-15 games.

 
Eric Munson (1B, 23, L/R)
 YEAR      TM  GM  AB  HT DB TP HR RUN RBI  BB  SO  AVG OBA SLU  SB  CS
 1999       A  69 258  69 16  1 14  42  45  38  48  267 380 500   3   1
 2000      AA  98 365  92 21  4 15  52  68  39  96  252 348 456   5   2

 
      Munson is a prized prospect in the Tigers' organization. So far, he has shown an exceptional ability to get hit by pitches, but not much else. He is still very young, and he will be expected to make some big improvements this year.

 
CJ Nitkowski (28, L)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 1998     HOU   3   3  43  0  0  0  3  60  49  23  44 377
 1999     DET   4   5  68  7  0  0  0  82  63  45  66 430
 2000     DET   4   9  67 11  0  0  0 110 124  49  81 525

 
      Nitkowski struggled a bit; he was very effective against southpaws (.218 batting average), but got whupped by right-handed hitters. He's a decent pitcher, doesn't have good control but usually keeps the hits down. If he continues to have problems against right-handers, he could always be effective in a more limited role in the bullpen.

 
Dean Palmer (3B, 32, R/R)
 YEAR      TM  GM  AB  HT DB TP HR RUN RBI  BB  SO  AVG OBA SLU  SB  CS
 1998      KC 152 572 159 27  2 34  84 119  48 134  278 333 510   8   2
 1999     DET 150 560 147 25  2 38  92 100  57 153  263 339 518   3   3
 2000     DET 145 524 134 22  2 29  73 102  66 146  256 338 471   4   2

 
      Give Palmer credit for being consistent. He hits home runs, strikes out a lot but keeps his average over .250, and is an awful defensive player. He's a solid player, not a star; his drop in power numbers last year can be attributed to the Tigers' move into the vast confines of Comerica Park.

 
Danny Patterson (30, R)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 1998     TEX   2   5  56  0  0  0  2  60  64  19  33 445
 1999     TEX   2   0  53  0  0  0  0  60  77  19  43 567
 2000     DET   5   1  58  0  0  0  0  57  69  14  29 397

 
      Patterson recovered from a rough 1999, and was a key member of the Tigers' fine bullpen last year. There isn't very much that is impressive about him, but he is a control pitcher working in a big ballpark, and he should be able to survive another season.

 
Matt Perisho (26, L)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 1999     AAA  15   7  27 27  2  0  0 156 160  78 150 461
2000 TEX 2 7 34 13 0 0 0 105 136 67 74 737

 
      The Rangers stuck with Perisho the whole year, and he responded with a dreadful season. The Tigers acquired him during the winter; apart from the fact that he is moving to a good pitchers' park, there is very little to suggest that Perisho can pitch.

 
Sean Runyan (27, L)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 1998     DET   1   4  88  0  0  0  1  50  47  28  39 358
 1999     DET   0   1  12  0  0  0  0  11   9   3   6 338
2000 AAA 1 2 44 0 0 0 1 49 58 25 66 584

 
      Runyan began the road to recovery from shoulder surgery last season, but he had problems getting people out at Toledo. He's a lefty whose job it is to get left-handers out, one batter at a time. As soon as he proves that he can do that on consistent basis, he'll be back, soon.

 
Steve Sparks (35, R)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 2000     AAA   5   7  16 14  1  0  0  91  86  41  44 377
1998 ANA 9 4 22 20 0 0 0 129 130 58 90 434 1999 ANA 5 11 28 26 0 0 0 148 165 82 73 542 2000 DET 7 5 20 15 1 1 1 104 108 29 53 407

 
      He's a knuckleballer whose career was on the rocks when the season started, but he ended up making some fine starts for the Tigers late in the summer. The key to his success was vastly improved control, and if he could keep throwing strikes he could have a good year. But how many knuckballers do anything consistently? Still, Sparks is a decent pitcher, has probably pitched at least as well as Tim Wakefield the past three years, and he can help a team out.

 
Kevin Tolar (30, L)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 1998  AA-AAA   1   3  62  0  0  0  1  66  58  54  68 421
 1999  AA-AAA   5   4  55  2  0  0  1  67  69  52  78 441
 2000  AA-AAA   6   2  41  0  0  0  2  64  44  34  61 254

 
      You might remember this guy if you live in Salinas or South Bend or Sarasota; he played with those teams about a decade ago. He has also played with Utica, Lynchburg, Carolina, Canton-Akron, Binghamton, St. Lucie, Nashville, Indianapolis, Chattanooga, Jacksonville, Toledo, and finally Detroit.
      His control is terrible. He's a left-hander, and he gets strikeouts, but walks have always killed him. But he performed well at Toledo last year, so who knows? A southpaw who gets strikeouts can always get a job, no matter how old he is.

 
Jeff Weaver (25, R)
 YEAR    TEAM  WN  LS  GP GS CG SH SV  IP HIT  BB  SO ERA
 1999     DET   9  12  30 29  0  0  0 164 176  56 114 555
 2000     DET  11  15  31 30  2  0  0 200 205  52 136 432

 
      An outstanding young pitcher with the Tigers, Weaver's second season was a big improvement on the first. I'm a little worried that he has thrown a lot of innings the past two years, plus he also seems to have a bit of a funny pitching motion. But if he is healthy he is going to be terrific.